Trey Lance, Zach Wilson leave question marks

Part stock exchange, part gambling establishment, the NFL draft is a three-day (or yearlong, if you count all the legwork) workout in weighing threat versus benefit. And the benefit — along with the toll — of all 32 groups’ choices will not be totally clear for many years.

Obviously, when required to represent innumerate variables in weighing one possibility versus numerous others, there’s no sensible expectation of discovering a “sure thing” in the draft. Every year, however, some gamers use a more unpredictable series of possible profession results. And while a few of those potential customers have actually offered considerable returns on their groups’ preliminary financial investments — consider Buffalo Costs quarterback Josh Allen, Seattle Seahawks pass receiver DK Metcalf or Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert — others have actually decreased as cautionary tales.

These 10 gamers might be the greatest boom-or-bust potential customers of the 2021 NFL draft class:

NFL DRAFT: 11 groups that may turn heads by selecting a quarterback

MORE: 10 NFL draft potential customers who might have much better professions as pros

North Dakota State Bison quarterback Trey Lance (5) scrambles from James Madison Dukes safety D'Angelo Amos (24) in the third quarter at Toyota Stadium.

North Dakota State Bison quarterback Trey Lance (5) scrambles from James Madison Dukes security D’Angelo Amos (24) in the 3rd quarter at Toyota Arena.

Trey Lance, QB, North Dakota State

Enigma: Experience, anticipation

Predicting how quarterbacks will shift to the NFL frequently involves several leaps of faith, however whichever group picks Lance will need to arrange through numerous unknowns. After showing respected while putting together a 17-0 record throughout his time at the Football Champion Neighborhood level, the 6-4, 224-pound passer deals with a high knowing curve at the next level, as he’ll be asked to make checks out and timing tosses that weren’t required of him in North Dakota State’s run-heavy offense. His precision, especially deep, can likewise be unpredictable. Look out, however, if he reaches speed on those fronts. Lance might be a particular skill thanks to his unusual mix of arm strength, running capability, smart and composure.

Zach Wilson, QB, BYU

Enigma: Efficiency under pressure, footwork

Any gamer who draws contrasts to Patrick Mahomes and Aaron Rodgers after a breakout season ought to create both enjoyment and suspicion. Providing one amazing downfield strike after another in 2015, Wilson constructed a buzz as the NFL’s next non-traditional playmaker. It deserves questioning, however, whether those outcomes are replicable in the face of constant pressure, which the 6-2, 214-pound quarterback was seldom subjected to in 2015. And while his off-platform tosses produced a few of college football’s finest highlights last season, his duplicated footwork lapses and daredevil playing design might yield interceptions in lots. Extensively connected to the New york city Jets with the No. 2 choice, Wilson might be simply what the moribund franchise requires for a turn-around … or he might end up being the current in a long line of disappointments at quarterback.

MORE: BYU quarterback Zach Wilson is the buzz of the NFL draft. However does his possible warrant the buzz?

Rondale Moore, WR, Purdue

Question marks: Size, durability, downfield playmaking ability

At 5-7 and 180 pounds, is the diminutive speedster the next Tyreek Hill or Tavon Austin? Maybe neither, as it could be a stretch for Moore to reach the highs of Hill, the three-time All-Pro Kansas City Chiefs star, or lows of Austin, the former top 10 pick who never eclipsed 510 receiving yards in a season. There’s no denying his electric ability with the ball in his hands. But given his stature, injury history (missed 11 games in last two years) and inexperience with downfield routes, Moore might find that his pro success will largely be tied to whether he lands with a staff creative enough to utilize his strengths while bringing the rest of his game along.

Kadarius Toney, WR, Florida

Question marks: Route running, contested-catch ability

Left in single coverage last year, Toney proved adept at shaking defenders in coverage and once he had the ball, as few of his peers could match his cutting ability. Yet in the NFL, it’s unreasonable to expect the 6-0, 193-pounder to juke all comers in the same fashion he did in college. It’s imperative, then, for Toney to develop better pacing and polish in his routes while also establishing himself as a reliable target on contested catches. Still, his penchant for generating big plays after the catch should solidify his place in the first round and earn him plenty of looks early in his career.

Walker Little, OT, Stanford

Question marks: Lack of experience, polish

A former five-star recruit, Little has the frame (6-7, 313 pounds) and movement skills to be a cornerstone left tackle. But after playing in just one game in 2019 due to a torn anterior cruciate ligament and then sitting out last year, his development is a mystery. Some teams might see the ideal package for a high-level pass protector, but others could be wary of the work still left to be done.

Jayson Oweh, DE, Penn State

Question marks: Instincts, pass-rush moves

With rare speed (4.36 seconds in the 40-yard dash) for a player of his size (6-5, 257 pounds), Oweh will be a problem for any offensive tackle who’s not fully prepared for his outside speed rush. When denied a runway to the quarterback, however, he doesn’t have much of a backup plan. Having only started one year at Penn State after picking up football as a high school junior, Oweh still could make a significant leap if a pro coaching staff can hone his instincts and moves. His one-note style, however, will only go so far at the next level.

Gregory Rousseau, DE, Miami (Fla.)

Question marks: Strength, fluidity

A wide receiver and safety throughout most of high school, Rousseau burst onto the college football scene in 2019 by recording 15 1/2 sacks as a redshirt freshman before opting out of last season. While the appeal of his 6-7, 266-pound frame is readily evident in his pass rushes, so too is his inexperience. After repeatedly moving inside and beating college offensive linemen with his length and sheer determination, Rousseau will need to find new ways to get past blockers at the next level, as he lacks the strength for an effective bull rush. If he bulks up without losing any explosiveness, Rousseau could be an imposing matchup, but there’s substantial work to be done before he can become a legitimate threat off the edge.

Tyson Campbell, CB, Georgia

Question marks: Discipline, playmaking ability

At American Heritage High School in Plantation, Florida, Campbell teamed up with Alabama cornerback Patrick Surtain II to form one of the best prep cornerback tandems in years. But whereas Surtain became a master technician in college to position himself to become a possible top-10 pick in April, Campbell is too often undone by his own missteps. Combining a 6-1, 193-pound frame with outstanding long speed and agility, he has all the physical traits teams prize in their search for shutdown corners. Yet his struggles to match receivers’ routes and get in position to make a play on the ball could leave him vulnerable in coverage early and often in his pro career.

Caleb Farley, CB, Virginia Tech

Enigma: Man coverage experience, health

Before he opted out of the 2020 season, Farley was considered by many a top-10 pick and the premier cornerback in the draft. Fast forward to this spring after his microdiscectomy, however, and he might have been leapfrogged by Surtain, South Carolina’s Jaycee Horn and Northwestern’s Greg Newsome II. While Farley said doctors believe he’ll be ready for the season, he also missed the final two games of 2019 with a back injury and tore his ACL as a freshman. On the field, his feel for the position is still developing with just two seasons of experience after switching from wide receiver. Still, at 6-2 and 197 pounds with excellent closing speed and ball skills, Farley might be a steal if he slides on draft day.

Andre Cisco, S, Syracuse

Question marks: Aggressive playing style, tackling

When the ball is thrown toward Cisco, a big play is typically ahead. It’s just not always clear whether it will be an interception — he grabbed 13 in 24 video games — or a long completion, as his audacious approach leaves him vulnerable to being burned. His run defense is a mixed bag as well, with plenty of highlight-reel hits and head-scratching misses. Cisco’s extensive range and knack for finding the ball might make him a dynamic safety, however his high-risk playing style might be his undoing if he isn’t more critical.

Follow Michael Middlehurst-Schwartz on Twitter @MikeMSchwartz.

This post initially appeared on U.S.A. TODAY: NFL draft boom-or-bust potential customers: Trey Lance, Zach Wilson raise concerns

Jobber Wiki author Frank Long contributed to this report.