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Thursday Night Football odds, spread, line: Jaguars vs. Jets prediction, NFL picks by expert on 31-14 run

Two teams heading in opposite directions will collide when the Jacksonville Jaguars square off against the New York Jets in the Week 16 Thursday Night Football game at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, N.J. The Jaguars (6-8) have won back-to-back games and four of their last six. They have pulled to within one game of Tennessee for the lead in the AFC South. The Jets (7-7) have lost three in a row and five of their last seven. They are one game behind Miami (8-6) for the third and final wild card spot in the AFC playoff picture. 

Kickoff is at 8:15 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists New York as a 2.5-point favorite in the latest Jaguars vs. Jets odds, while the over/under is 37. Before making any Jets vs. Jaguars picks or NFL predictions, you’ll want to see what SportsLine’s resident Jaguars expert, Mike Tierney, has to say.

A veteran sportswriter whose work appears periodically in The New York Times and Los Angeles Times, Mike Tierney has covered the NFL for decades and reported from seven Super Bowls. He entered the 2022 NFL season 232-204-10 ATS since the start of the 2018 season. He also is 31-14 on his last 45 NFL picks in games involving the Jaguars, returning $1,593. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, Tierney has zeroed in on Jaguars vs. Jets and just locked in his picks and TNF predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see his picks. Now, here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Jets vs. Jags:

  • Jaguars vs. Jets spread: Jets -2.5
  • Jaguars vs. Jets over/under: 37 points
  • Jaguars vs. Jets money line: Jets -135, Jaguars +115
  • NYJ: Jets rank third in the NFL in total defense (305.4 yards allowed per game).
  • JAX: Foyesade Oluokun leads the league in tackles (156).
  • Jaguars vs. Jets picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | New York Jets vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Why the Jets can cover

Receiver Garrett Wilson is having one of the best seasons by any rookie in the league. The No. 10 overall pick in April’s NFL Draft, Wilson is tied for 11th among all players in receiving yards (966). He is on pace to become the team’s first 1,000-yard receiver since 2015, ending the longest active drought in the league.

In addition, New York faces a Jacksonville defense that has struggled getting to the quarterback. The Jaguars have just 26 sacks this season; only four teams have fewer. The lack of pressure has contributed to Jacksonville giving up 252.6 passing yards per game, fourth worst in the NFL. See which team to pick here.

Why the Jaguars can cover

Safety Rayshawn Jenkins is having a career season. The former Chargers safety has set career-highs in tackles (95), solo tackles (60) and forced fumbles (two) and has tied his career-high in interceptions (three). Last Sunday against Dallas, he had two picks, including one that he returned 59 yards in overtime to win the game.

In addition, receiver Christian Kirk is on pace to have his best year. Signed in the offseason to a four-year, $72 million contract, Kirk has 73 receptions for 966 yards. His career-highs are 77 and 982, set last season. He already has a career-high seven receiving touchdowns. See which team to pick here.

How to make Jaguars vs. Jets picks

We can tell you Tierney is leaning Over on the point total, but he also has isolated a critical X-factor that has him going big on one side of the spread. He’s only sharing what it is, and which side to back, at SportsLine.

Who wins Jets vs. Jaguars on Thursday Night Football? And which critical X-factor makes one side of the spread hit hard? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Jets vs. Jaguars spread to back, all from the expert who is 31-14 on against-the-spread picks involving Jacksonville, and find out.

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