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Steelers vs. Dolphins odds, spread, line: Sunday Night Football picks, predictions by NFL model that’s 146-107

Two teams with health issues at quarterback will square off on Sunday Night Football when the Miami Dolphins host the Pittsburgh Steelers. Miami (3-3), which is looking to end its three-game losing streak, expects to have Tua Tagovailoa back after he missed two contests with a concussion. Pittsburgh (2-4) halted its four-game skid last week with a victory against Tampa Bay, but lost rookie signal-caller Kenny Pickett to a concussion in his first career start. Pickett cleared the league’s concussion protocol and is expected to start.

Kickoff from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. Miami is a seven-point favorite in the latest Steelers vs. Dolphins odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 44.5. Before making any Dolphins vs. Steelers picks, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 7 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 146-107 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranks in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Steelers vs. Dolphins and just locked in its picks and Sunday Night Football predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Steelers vs. Dolphins: 

  • Steelers vs. Dolphins spread: Miami -7
  • Steelers vs. Dolphins over/under: 44.5 points 
  • Steelers vs. Dolphins money line: Miami -345, Pittsburgh +270 
  • MIA: Dolphins are 10-2 against the spread in their last 12 home games against teams with losing road records 
  • PIT: Steelers are 2-4 against the spread this season
  • Miami Dolphins vs. Steelers picks: See picks here

Featured Game | Miami Dolphins vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Why the Dolphins can cover

Miami is hoping the return of its No. 1 quarterback means an increase in scoring. The team averaged 27.7 points during its season-opening three-game winning streak with a healthy Tagovailoa, but just 16 points during its current skid that has seen the signal-caller play less than one half of football. The 24-year-old leads the NFL with a 109.9 passer rating and showed a glimpse of the greatness the Dolphins expected when they drafted him fifth overall in 2020 with a six-touchdown performance against Baltimore in Week 2.

Tyreek Hill potentially could have another huge game against a Pittsburgh secondary that has allowed 10 opposing players to amass at least 74 receiving yards this season, with five reaching triple-digits. The 28-year-old wideout is coming off his third 100-yard performance of the year, as he recorded 177 on 12 catches in last week’s 24-16 loss to Minnesota. Hill is first in the NFL with 701 receiving yards and shares the league lead with 11 receptions of at least 20 yards. See which team to back here.

Why the Steelers can cover

Diontae Johnson has yet to haul in a scoring pass but leads Pittsburgh’s receiving corps with 33 catches and 295 yards. The 26-year-old was a factor when the Steelers posted a 27-14 victory in their most recent meeting with the Dolphins in 2019, making five catches for 84 yards and a touchdown.

Running back Najee Harris has yet to rush for 75 yards in a game this season but leads the team with two TD receptions. He has double-digit carries in every game this season and has hauled in 15 receptions. See which team to back here.

How to make Dolphins vs. Steelers picks on SNF

SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the point total, with the model calling for 41 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the model’s SNF picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Dolphins vs. Steelers on Sunday Night Football? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Dolphins vs. Steelers spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a 146-107 roll on NFL picks, and find out.

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