Sportsbooks tempt bettors with Larson odds; value to be found on Kyle Busch

A number of sportsbooks are feeling frisky, welcoming action on Kyle Larson prior to Sunday‘s Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 500 at Texas Motor Speedway, the very first race of the Round of 8 in the NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs. At opening chances of much better than 3-1, these wagering stores are using better rates on the No. 5 than the majority of the marketplace.

RELATED: NASCAR BetCenter | Texas weekend schedule

Barstool Sportsbook, a main NASCAR partner, is dealing +325 on Larson to win this weekend. FanDuel is a lot more generous, noting him a reasonably fat +365 to tally his 8th triumph of the Cup season.

SuperBook U.S.A., along with BetMGM and WynnBET (NASCAR‘s 2 other wagering sponsors), are all much shorter than +300 on Larson.

Here are chances on the leading competitors to win Sunday‘s race from the 5 books.

Motorist

FanDuel

Barstool

BetMGM

WynnBET

SuperBook

Kyle Larson

+360

+325

+275

+275

+250

Denny Hamlin

+650

+650

+600

+600

+600

Kyle Busch

+800

+700

+700

+700

+600

Chase Elliott

+850

+700

+700

+700

+700

Martin Truex Jr

+1100

+800

+750

+750

+800

Ryan Blaney

+1100

+900

+900

+900

+1000

Brad Keselowski

+2100

+1400

+1400

+1500

+1400

Joey Logano

+1400

+1400

+1400

+1400

+1600

Kevin Harvick

+1700

+1400

+1400

+1600

+2000

William Byron

+1900

+1600

+1600

+1600

+1600

Kurt Busch

+3100

+2800

+3300

+2800

+2500

Alex Bowman

+2300

+2800

+2500

+2500

+3000

Tyler Reddick

+3500

+3500

+3300

+3500

+4000

At much better than +300, Larson is luring, as he has actually been a shorter-priced favorite at all 5 races utilizing the 550-horsepower, high-downforce bundle considering that the race at Charlotte Motor Speedway. A wagerer can‘t be blamed for taking a shot versus him, however — he has actually stopped working to reward his backers with a triumph in any of those races.

Joe Gibbs Racing

The very first stop for gamblers wanting to beat the No. 5 this weekend is most likely the Gibbs garage, whose chauffeurs inhabit the next 2 areas on the oddsboard.

Denny Hamlin‘s late-season momentum has actually consisted of a win at Las Vegas Motor Speedway, the most current Cup race on a 1.5-mile track. His history at Texas, however, has actually been spotty. While he won here in March 2019 for the 3rd time in his Cup profession, his last 3 surfaces at the track are ninth, 20th and 28th. Over the 6 Texas races considering that 2018, Hamlin has a 20.33 typical surface and 81.7 chauffeur ranking, not precisely stats that will trigger a mad rush to the wagering window.

Kyle Busch, on the other hand, appears to enjoy Texas, winning here for the 4th time in 2015 and tallying a 6.67 typical surface and 114.5 ranking considering that 2018. He has actually likewise won 10 Xfinity and 5 Truck Series races here.

Busch‘s 2 wins this season came at Kansas Speedway and Pocono Raceway, 550-horsepower tracks, and in the 2 latest races on 1.5-mile tracks, he has actually been 2nd (Atlanta Motor Speedway) and 3rd (Vegas). In the 10 550-horsepower races this season, Busch has actually assembled a stimulating 3.7 typical surface.

Our buddy, Jim Sannes, over at numberFire puts Busch‘s opportunities to win Sunday at 13.0%, which equates to +669 chances. Per this analysis, the No. 18 deserves a play at +700 or much better.

Martin Truex Jr. tends to spend time on these 1.5-milers, completing 6th or much better in 5 of the 7 races on such designs this season, however he has actually stopped working to break through with a win. He has actually won 4 times this year, all at 750-horsepower tracks.

Trying To Find long shots

Ryan Blaney, offered for double-digit chances for the persistent wagering line consumer, has actually completed in the leading 6 in 5 550-horsepower races in a row. He won at the 1.5-mile Atlanta and at Michigan International Speedway, although we‘re not exactly sure how beneficial a contrast that 2-miler is for Texas.

Brad Keselowski, Blaney‘s Group Penske garage-mate, has a strong 9.9 typical surface with the 550-horsepower engine this season, and FanDuel‘s rogue +2100 on the No. 2 Ford leaps off the page. In 8th location in the standings, Kes figures to be aggressive opting for the win to protect an area in the Champion 4.

RELATED: See how staying playoff chauffeurs fare at Texas

While he has actually been gotten rid of from the NASCAR Playoffs, William Byron won at Homestead-Miami Speedway and has 4 leading fives and 7 leading 10s on 550-horsepower tracks this year.

Alex Bowman hasn‘t been a design of consistency, however a deal near 30-1 chances is extremely appealing for “The Showman” to acquire his 4th win of the year.

Tyler Reddick has actually been getting some love within some NASCAR wagering circles today. He had a couple of early-season cars, however he has 5 surfaces of ninth or much better — consisting of a 2nd at Homestead-Miami — on 1.5-mile tracks this season, and he completed second at Texas last July. Barstool Sports provides +400 on a leading 5 for the No. 8 Sunday and a reasonable +115 for a leading 10.

Marcus DiNitto is an author and editor living in Charlotte, North Carolina. He has actually been covering sports for almost two-and-a-half years and sports wagering for more than ten years. His very first NASCAR wagering experience remained in 1995 at North Wilkesboro Speedway, where he went 0-for-3 on his match choices. Read his short articles and follow him on Twitter; do not wager his choices.

Jobber Wiki author Frank Long contributed to this report.