Today we’re going to take a look at the well-established Micron Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:MU). The company’s stock saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NASDAQGS, rising to highs of US$63.87 and falling to the lows of US$53.90. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Micron Technology’s current trading price of US$58.14 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Micron Technology’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
See our latest analysis for Micron Technology
What Is Micron Technology Worth?
Micron Technology appears to be expensive according to my price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company’s price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Micron Technology’s ratio of 39.5x is above its peer average of 17.63x, which suggests the stock is trading at a higher price compared to the Semiconductor industry. But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Given that Micron Technology’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
What does the future of Micron Technology look like?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to more than double over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Micron Technology. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? MU’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above industry price multiples. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe MU should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on MU for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for MU, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
With this in mind, we wouldn’t consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. In terms of investment risks, we’ve identified 2 warning signs with Micron Technology, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you are no longer interested in Micron Technology, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
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Find out whether Micron Technology is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.