Identifying the 2021 NFL Coach of the Year

If you take a deep dive into the history of the Associated Press NFL Coach of the Year Award, the most significant takeaway is that this is plainly a narrative award. It’s not about who had one of the most wins, however rather who had the very best story. That makes good sense — after all, individuals who vote on this award compose stories for a living. 

When author and teacher Joseph Campbell presented The Hero’s Journey in his book The Hero with a Thousand Faces, he was doing more than simply promoting an idea which would affect future writers like George Lucas and Dan Harmon. He was likewise supplying us with a plan for how to win COTY: a hero hearkens the call to experience, browses an unknown scenario, is triumphant versus all chances, and returns home altered or changed.

Here are the “heroes” from the previous couple of seasons:

Kevin Stefanski (2020)

3 of the last 4 COTY winners took their groups to the playoffs (an unmentioned requirement for the award) in their very first year as a head coach. Twelve other clubs had a record much better than or equating to the 11-5 Cleveland Browns, who completed third in their department, however Stefanski ended a 17-year playoff dry spell for The Land.

Cleveland Browns head coach Kevin Stefanski was 2020's AP Coach of the Year. (Jason Getz/USA TODAY Sports)

Cleveland Browns head coach Kevin Stefanski was 2020’s AP Coach of the Year. (Jason Getz/USA TODAY Sports)

John Harbaugh (2019)

Harbaugh’s 2018 Ravens went 10-6 and won their department, so what’s so engaging about him winning it once again in 2019? Well, he constructed his 2019 group around Lamar Jackson after getting humiliated by the Chargers in the 2018 playoffs. Essentially everybody believed it was an absurd concept, which was shown in the +5000 chances the Ravens and Jackson were provided to win the champion and MVP, respectively. Jackson continued to streamroll the league in 2019, scooping up every MVP vote and leading the Ravens to a 14-2 routine season record, prior to losing in an upset to the Tennessee Titans in the Wild Card Video Game.

Matt Nagy (2018)

In his very first year as a head coach, Nagy went 12-4 and won the NFC North with Mitch Trubisky at quarterback, protecting a playoff area for the Bears for the very first time in 8 seasons.

Sean McVay (2017)

Another first-year head coach, McVay took control of a Rams group that went 4-12 in 2016 and changed them into an 11-5 department winner. Not just had the franchise not been to the playoffs for the previous 12 years, however they had not even ended a single season with a winning record.

So who will win in 2021?

By determining this year’s finest prospective stories which have the very best possibilities of emerging, we can determine the prospects who have the very best chance at winning COTY. 

Brandon Staley (+1200)

Novice head coaches who provide their groups into the postseason are near-locks to win COTY. Out of this year’s crop, Staley is the best-positioned to make that take place, which is why he’s the wagering favorite at BetMGM. The previous Rams protective planner relocations from Los Angeles to Los Angeles, however his roadway to the playoffs will be a lot longer than that, as the Chargers open with a quite harsh very first 7 video games. I enjoy the quarterback and offense he’s been talented, however there’s insufficient worth in these chances for me.

Expense Belichick (+1400)

Tom Brady leaves town and the Patriots suffer their very first losing season because 2000. Certainly, this must be completion, right? Or possibly it’s the start of a brand-new chapter, including another somewhat chubby novice quarterback with outstanding precision. I’m wagering a little taste on the GOAT who’s still in New England.

New England Patriots head coach Bill Belichick looks to resume his winning ways with rookie quarterback Mac Jones. (Eric Hartline/USA TODAY Sports)

New England Patriots head coach Expense Belichick wants to resume his winning methods with novice quarterback Mac Jones. (Eric Hartline/USA TODAY Sports)

Kyle Shanahan (+1400)

The Niners take pleasure in the simplest schedule in the NFL and their offense is going to be a problem to safeguard. If Shanahan can make the QB squadron work, or, even better, win 13+ video games and the most difficult department in the league with novice Trey Lance, he has a good chance at winning COTY. Another little taste for me at +1400.

Matt Rhule (+2000)

We will discover whether the issue in New york city was Adam Gase or Sam Darnold, since this offense is definitely stacked. Farewell, Frank Gore, Braxton Berrios, and Breshad Perriman. Hi, Christian McCaffrey, D.J. Moore, Robby Anderson (once again), and Balcony Marshall Jr.

The Panthers have among the simplest roadway schedules and the sixth-easiest general schedule. Integrate all that with a young defense filled with playmakers like Brian Burns and Derrick Brown, and Rhule has a possibility to hang double-digit wins following a 5-11 season. If he revitalizes Darnold and they make the playoffs, this award will come from Rhule. It deserves a large bet at +2000.

Sean Payton (+2500)

Exists any group who has a much better possible story this year than the Saints? Simply a week far from kickoff, they’re homeless, we have no concept when star receiver Michael Thomas is returning (or what he’ll resemble when he does), and Jameis Winston is entering Drew Brees’s shoes. Payton is among the very best coaches in the NFL and although this lineup might not have a great deal of family names, this is a strong group that will have the ability to grind video games out on both sides of the ball with a top-four offending line and a top-eight protective line. This is my preferred bet on the board for NFL Coach of the Year.

Duplicates offered by PFF, SharpFootball, and professional football referral

Jobber Wiki author Frank Long contributed to this report.