Dustin Poirier vs. Conor McGregor
Conor McGregor is worthy of to be preferred in his light-weight bout versus Dustin Poirier on Saturday in the primary occasion of UFC 257 at Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi. McGregor stopped Poirier in the preliminary of their 2014 bout and has actually developed himself not just as the sport’s most significant star, however likewise as one of its most talented fighters.
However McGregor’s wild fan base offers wagering chances when he’s dealing with somebody talented enough to win. McGregor wagerers tend to wager him no matter the chances, and over the weekend, McGregor went from a -260 preferred at the MGM Grand Sports Book to -300 by Monday early morning.
It wouldn’t be a surprise if it continues to increase.
That makes Poirier an appealing bet. Yes, he was mostly controlled in their very first battle, however he’s a significantly various fighter now.
For something, he is completing at light-weight, where he’s constantly revealed a better chin. Throughout a four-fight winning streak from Nov. 11, 2017, through April 13, 2019, Poirier beat Anthony Pettis, Justin Gaethje, Eddie Alvarez and Max Holloway.
They’re all great strikers and Poirier had a good deal of success. Poirier was sent by Nurmagomedov on Sept. 7, 2019, however returned on June 27 to beat yet another elite striker, Dan Hooker, by consentaneous choice.
Poirier has actually shown he can deal with elite strikers, despite the fact that McGregor’s hands are most likely the very best of all of Poirier’s challengers.
McGregor is quickly, and has power in both his hands and his kicks. He likewise has a variety of strikes and is fantastic at strolling challengers into his shots, utilizing one to establish another.
If they battled 10 times, McGregor may win 7 of them. However Poirier does not need to beat McGregor consistently. He simply requires to beat him on this offered day.
Poirier sits at +240 now and it’s an appealing cost for among the very best pound-for-pound fighters in the sport. If McGregor were at -140 or -160, I’d be all over it, however at double that, it’s a various story.
Poirier is a terrific offending fighter, however he requires to think of defense in this battle and utilize his persistence. McGregor has actually never ever been as great in the 2nd half of a battle as he has actually remained in the front half, so Poirier requires to do all he can to press the battle late.
McGregor’s body improvement has actually been exceptional, so he’s plainly been striving to prepare. However all of those muscles he’s included need oxygen, and the later on the battle goes, the harder it may be for him.
At the end of the day, there is too much value on Poirier to pass up. McGregor is going to beat him more often than not, but on this night in this situation, Poirier has the ability to win.
So, I’ll recommend a play on Poirier at +240 as well as Poirier by decision at +550. I’m also going to bet the fight will go the distance at +275.
Best bets for Chiesa-Magny, UFC 257
One of the fights that figures to be outstanding is the Michael Chiesa-Neil Magny welterweight fight that headlines Wednesday’s card. That’s a critical fight in the division, with Chiesa ranked eighth and Magny ninth.
Magny is a slight favorite at +140, and I think he’ll create matchup problems for Chiesa. He has two inches of height and five inches of reach on Chiesa and that will be tough for Chiesa to overcome.
I’ll lay the -140 on Magny in a bout I expect to go the distance.
I will lay two units on Mounir Lazzez at -220 to win over Warlley Alves on Wednesday.
I like Joanne Calderwood at -120 over Jessica Eye.
I will take Julianna Peña at +105 to defeat Sara McMann.
I think Mike Chandler gets hit too much, so I will play Dan Hooker at -130 to win in Saturday’s co-main event.
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Jobber Wiki author Frank Long included to this report.