“Cookie-Cutter” Kings

The similarly-configured, 1.5-milers have long been the most widespread kind of track on the circuit. While the motorists will inform you that each races clearly various from the others, the evidence in their resemblance to wagerers and handicappers appears in the list of motorists who regularly control them.

In 2015 there were 11 races on the 1.5-milers. NASCAR restructured the calendar in 2021 to include more roadway course races which number has actually diminished to 9, however that still represents 25 percent of the readily available occasions. This is a track type that need to be appreciated if a chauffeur wishes to get approved for the champion.

3 extremely crucial races are held throughout the last 10 weeks, that makes it similarly crucial in winning the Cup.

3 races have actually been operated on similarly-configured, 1.5-mile tracks up until now: the Dixie Vodka 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway, Pennzoil 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway, and the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500 at Atlanta Motor Speedway. 3 various winners have actually been triumphant – which is unsurprising given that just Martin Truex Jr. has actually published more than one win up until now in 2021; he is not amongst the 1.5-mile winners.

The staying active similarly-configured, 1.5-mile tracks are Charlotte Motor Speedway, Texas Motor Speedway, and Kansas Speedway. Chicagoland Speedway and Kentucky Speedway fell off the schedule this year and neither hosted a race in 2020 due to COVID-19 constraints.

Next on the calendar is the Buschy McBusch Race 400 at Kansas – an occasion whose name was voted on by fans. Probably: mainly millennials.

William Byron was the surprise winner at Homestead. Less unexpected, however still not the preferred, Kyle Larson won at Vegas and Ryan Blaney won at Atlanta. With 6 similarly-configured, 1.5-mile track races staying, it’s time to turn our concentrate on who may be next.

“Cookie-Cutter” Kings

The quick increase of the 1.5-milers around the millenium triggered the derisive label, “cookie-cutter” tracks. While track authorities dislike the name, it is practical to swelling these courses together.

Truex has actually been the “Cookie-Cutter” king over the last few years. His last 22 efforts on this course type while he was still racing for automobile owner Barney Visser led to 21 top-10s. 8 of these were success. His top-10 portion has actually fallen off with Joe Gibbs Racing, however a big part of that is due to the fact that of the parity NASCAR has actually effectively presented to the sport.

In 25 races 1.5-mile races with Gibbs, Truex has 19 top-10s consisting of the las 7 successive. He’s just won two times because period, nevertheless, with success at Charlotte and Vegas in 2019. Last fall, he came close with a runner-up surface to colleague Kyle Busch at Texas.

Truex is due a win and starving after recently’s frustrating Geico 500.

Kevin Harvick has actually likewise been outstanding on 1.5-milers throughout his profession. He has 17 wins on this course enter 209 starts. An overall of 71 top-fives provides him a portion of .340. 10 of these can be found in the last 18 races, which enhances his current number to .556.

If Truex is starving, Harvick is starving. He won 9 times in 2020 and has actually not yet revealed himself efficient in duplicating in 2021.

That cannot go on, nevertheless; it’s not a matter of if, however when Harvick will win. Today is a great time to position a bet on his with existing chances of +900 at PointsBet Sportsbook. So long as he is above +750, he ought to belong to your weekly plan.

Kyle Busch is another motorist due a win. His statistics in 2021 are a lot more outstanding than Harvick’s given that he is among simply 3 motorists to sweep the leading 10 in the very first 3 “cookie-cutter” races. He completed 10th at Homestead, 3rd at Vegas, and 5th at Atlanta. His only win in 2015 came at Texas when he closed at +800. Today he would be a lot more rewarding at +1200.

Along with Truex and Busch, Larson is the other motorist to sweep the leading 10 this year. In reality, he has an ideal record of top-fives and with a ninth at Vegas last spring prior to his suspension, he has a 4 race top-10 streak going. Larson had the best car at Atlanta earlier this year prior to he was overtaken by Blaney, who managed his tires better.

Perhaps the driver with the very best current 1.5-mile record is one with remarkably long chances. Alex Bowman is noted at +2000 today, which ranks him 11th on that chart. He is a fantastic longshot with those chances given that he has top-10 surfaces in 6 of his last 7 efforts on this course type – 4 of those were top-fives. Bowman’s very first Cup win came at Chicagoland in 2019.

Brad Keselowski likewise cannot be disregarded. He ended up being the ninth various winner at Talladega recently and has momentum on his side. He was all-but best on 1.5-milers in 2015 with 10 top-10s in 11 starts that consisted of a win in the Coke 600. Sadly oddsmakers understand his strength and rank him 4th on the chart with a +850.

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“Cookie-cutter” success, last 5 years


Jobber Wiki author Frank Long contributed to this report.