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Buccaneers vs. Saints odds, spread, line: Monday Night Football picks, NFL predictions from advanced model

Raymond James Stadium will host Monday Night Football between division-rivals. Week 13 of the season will wrap up with a battle between the New Orleans Saints and Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with both teams coming off losses. The game is the second and final matchup between the teams during the =regular season, with Tampa Bay winning in New Orleans in Week 2. The Saints are 4-8 this season, with the Buccaneers sitting at 5-6 to lead the NFC South.

Kickoff is at 8:15 p.m. ET in Tampa. Caesars Sportsbook lists Tampa Bay as a three-point favorite, while the over/under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 41 in the latest Buccaneers vs. Saints odds. Before locking in any Saints vs. Buccaneers picks or NFL bets, you should check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 13 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 155-110 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has broken down Buccaneers vs. Saints on MNF. You can head to SportsLine to see the picks. Here are the NFL lines and trends for Saints vs. Bucs:

  • Buccaneers vs. Saints spread: Buccaneers -3
  • Buccaneers vs. Saints over/under: 41 points
  • Buccaneers vs. Saints money line: Bucs -170, Saints +143
  • NO: Saints are 4-8 against the spread this season
  • TB: Under has hit in nine of 11 Bucs games
  • Buccaneers vs. Saints picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints

Why the Saints can cover

Tampa Bay is dead-last in rushing yards (803), rushing touchdowns (four), and yards per rush attempt (3.3) this season, and the Buccaneers are only No. 27 in scoring offense (18.2 points per game). The Buccaneers are also in the bottom 10 in red zone efficiency (50.0%) and third down efficiency (38.0%), and New Orleans seems to have Tom Brady’s number.

Brady has only 11 touchdowns and 11 turnovers in six games against the Saints since joining the Buccaneers and is completing only 59% of his passes with a middling 75.7 passer rating against New Orleans. See which team to pick here.

Why the Buccaneers can cover

The Saints have 21 giveaways this season, second-most in the NFL, and a bottom-three mark with 12 interceptions. The Saints average only 20.8 points per game and are below the league average in first downs, rushing yards, and rushing touchdowns.

Tampa Bay is notably stingy, giving up only 18.5 points per game and 1.65 yards per possession, ranking in the top eight in both categories. The Buccaneers are also in the top six in passing yards allowed, yards allowed per pass attempt, and third down efficiency allowed. Tampa Bay has 36 sacks, third-most in the NFL, and the Buccaneers should be able to create pressure to force New Orleans into suboptimal offensive circumstances. See which team to pick here.

How to make Buccaneers vs. Saints picks

The model has broken down Monday Night Football’s Saints vs. Buccaneers matchup from all angles. It is leaning Under the total, with the model projecting 40 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time. See who it is at SportsLine.

So who wins Saints vs. Buccaneers on Monday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Saints vs. Buccaneers spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 155-110 roll on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.

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